Thursday, May 5, 2011

New Prop Bets

Some of the stats the Cardinals are compiling are cause for concern.  Rather than panic, let's set some new prop bets.

Albert Pujols HR vs. D:   Currently 7 HR vs. 10 double plays.

Team GIDP vs Errors:     Currently, grounded into 42 double plays (now 43 as game is progressing) vs. 28 errors committed.

Wins vs Errors:   Currently, the team has won 17 games and committed 28 errors.

Blown Saves vs. Pujols Home Runs:     8 blown saves compared to 7 home runs.


I go with more Albert home runs compared to how many double plays he hits into.
I take more GIDP than errors committed.
I take more wins than errors.
I easily side with more home runs than blown saves.

Quick Thoughts on the Future

Last night was good, bad, and ugly.  You could also use 50 other adjectives to describe the game.

The team continues to fight until the end.  I don't think they did last year.  I think a lot of it has to do with Berkman, Theriot, and the rest of the young guys.

The bad is another bullpen loss.  It's nice to see Tony using the young guys so much.  Even though it's not good for now, these battles should help the team in the future.

The defense was just ugly.  2 errors from Yadier Molina and Chris Carpenter.  Yadi hasn't seemed right for most of the year defensively.

This year he has already committed 3 errors and allowed 2 past balls.  The 2 previous years he had 5 errors each year.   Pitches that likely would have been blocked in years past, seem to be getting away for wild pitches this year.

It got me thinking.  Payroll seems to be tight for next year, especially if Albert Pujols gets his extension.  I mentioned it last night on Twitter and didn't get much of a response.  I saw 1 other person mention it as well.


What if Yadi's option was declined?  I don't know the exact number, but it's likely near 6 million.  Declining his option and Carpenter's option and that's at least 20 million freed for the payroll.  Laird is signed for this year at 1 million.  Bump his salary up a bit for next year or just go baby birds.  Is Yadi's current defense that much better than what a baby bird could do?

I know lots of fans love Yadi, but if this defense keeps up all year, I think that similar production can be had next year for much cheaper saving money for an upgrade at 2B or SS, or a 1st baseman if must.